Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
WEG
1 - 3
SWE
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
RHE
2 - 0
SWE
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SWE
1 - 0
BSC
67%
20%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VIK
2 - 0
SWE
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SWE
0 - 4
FCR
48%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
FCB
0 - 3
MSV
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 0
FCR
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 0
EUR
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
GET
0 - 3
MSV
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MSV
1 - 1
BOR
34%
26%
39%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |