Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
BSC
3 - 0
SWE
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 1
DSC
49%
26%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 2
SWE
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SWE
4 - 0
SCH
38%
27%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
WAT
0 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
GUT
4 - 2
SOI
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BSC
5 - 0
GUT
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GUT
0 - 1
DSC
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 0
GUT
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GUT
0 - 0
SCH
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |