Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
KFC
4 - 1
SWE
71%
19%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SWE
1 - 4
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
FCB
3 - 2
SWE
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SWE
1 - 2
DIE
18%
22%
61%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
SWE
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
DUR
0 - 1
BSC
28%
24%
47%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
DUS
2 - 1
DUR
63%
21%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
KFC
2 - 0
DUR
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
DUR
0 - 4
STR
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 2
DUR
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |