Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
KLE
3 - 0
SWE
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 1
ADL
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
USO
2 - 2
SWE
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
SWE
2 - 0
BAY
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +5 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
DIE
5 - 3
SWE
70%
19%
10%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -4 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DUR
1 - 2
BSC
44%
25%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
MSV
2 - 2
DUR
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
DUR
2 - 2
FCB
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
BFR
2 - 1
DUR
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
DUR
1 - 3
OFC
8%
16%
76%
|
25 | 68 | 43 | -3 |