Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Germania Ratingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2001 |
SWE
1 - 1
BAY
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
WUP
3 - 0
SWE
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
SWE
2 - 3
FCB
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
FCR
3 - 1
SWE
37%
27%
37%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
EUR
0 - 2
SWE
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Ratingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
GRA
3 - 1
RHE
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ADL
1 - 4
GRA
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 0
MSV
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
WUP
1 - 2
GRA
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
GRA
2 - 0
WEG
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |