Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
GEW
3 - 4
SWE
40%
25%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SWE
4 - 3
BSC
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 1
WHE
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
SWE
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
DSC
1 - 4
SWE
31%
25%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 1
SOI
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 3
KÖL
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GUT
3 - 2
KÖL
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ABI
3 - 1
KÖL
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |