DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 1-2
Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
SWE
4 - 4
HAM
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
EID
2 - 3
SWE
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
SWE
2 - 0
ARB
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
DUI
0 - 2
SWE
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
HAM
1 - 1
SWE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1967 |
EIN
3 - 0
F95
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1967 |
BYM
1 - 2
F95
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
WAL
1 - 3
F95
50%
21%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1967 |
F95
0 - 5
BVB
29%
25%
47%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
KAI
2 - 1
F95
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |