Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs FC Bocholt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 0
COH
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
ROT
4 - 0
SWE
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 4
AHA
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 0
USO
77%
13%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1977 |
RWL
1 - 1
SWE
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
FC Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
FCB
3 - 0
HAN
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1977 |
PRE
3 - 2
FCB
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1977 |
FCB
0 - 1
USO
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
KSC
2 - 0
FCB
89%
7%
4%
|
40 | 72 | 32 | +1 |