Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
WOL
4 - 1
SWE
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1975 |
ROT
1 - 2
SWE
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
SWE
0 - 1
PRE
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
SWE
1 - 1
BVB
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
OSN
6 - 0
SWE
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
ERK
4 - 1
OWI
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
ERK
0 - 1
STP
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
DJK
1 - 1
ERK
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
ERK
2 - 2
WAT
37%
27%
35%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
ERK
2 - 0
ISC
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |