Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 0
SWE
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SWE
2 - 2
AAA
53%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 0
DUR
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
KLE
3 - 0
SWE
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 1
ADL
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BFR
1 - 3
BSC
51%
23%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MSV
3 - 1
BFR
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BFR
1 - 1
FCB
38%
24%
37%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
FCJ
2 - 0
BFR
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
WUP
3 - 2
BFR
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |