Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WER
0 - 2
SWE
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 2
SCH
59%
23%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
SWE
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 2
VFB
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 1
GEW
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 2
BER
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BER
0 - 4
WER
44%
25%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
BER
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
VEL
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
WEG
0 - 2
BER
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |