Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
WIE
74%
16%
9%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 4
SWE
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 1
MSV
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 1
SWE
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 2
AAA
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
KLE
2 - 1
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BER
2 - 3
VEL
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
VEL
4 - 4
BER
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
BER
1 - 2
FOR
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
MSV
3 - 0
BER
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |