Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
WOL
2 - 0
SWE
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
ARB
2 - 0
SWE
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
SWE
0 - 0
AAA
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1976 |
SWE
0 - 1
AHA
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1976 |
OSN
4 - 2
SWE
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 1
OSN
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 0
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 2
BSC
76%
18%
6%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
ISC
2 - 3
LEV
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1976 |
LEV
0 - 0
WUP
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |