Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
WHE
1 - 1
SWE
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
SCH
3 - 0
SWE
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
SWE
3 - 4
HAN
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
PRE
3 - 0
SWE
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1978 |
SWE
1 - 1
USO
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
ARB
2 - 0
HAN
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
PRE
0 - 1
ARB
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
ARB
3 - 0
USO
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
TEN
3 - 2
ARB
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1978 |
ARB
3 - 3
OSN
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |