Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 0
DUR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
KLE
3 - 0
SWE
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 1
ADL
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
USO
2 - 2
SWE
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
SWE
2 - 0
BAY
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +6 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 1
AAA
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
AAA
3 - 1
FCB
42%
25%
34%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
BFR
1 - 4
AAA
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 0
WUP
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
FCJ
1 - 1
AAA
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |