SW Bregenz vs Union Innsbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
SWB
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SWB
2 - 4
RBJ
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 1
SWB
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SWB
2 - 2
FCW
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SVA
2 - 2
SWB
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
SEE
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
STJ
3 - 0
UNI
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 6
DOR
18%
22%
59%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
HAL
46%
22%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
RBJ
4 - 0
UNI
88%
9%
4%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | 0 |