SW Bregenz vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
10º
8º
3
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 54 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 50 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 48 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 44 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 41 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 2
SWB
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SWB
4 - 1
SVL
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SWB
3 - 2
STU
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 2
SWB
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
SKN
0 - 2
SWB
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
SVH
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 3
SVH
19%
20%
62%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
3 - 0
SVH
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 1
AMS
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
SCA
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |