SW Bregenz vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
10º
4º
21
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 48 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SWB
4 - 0
KAP
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
RIE
3 - 0
SWB
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
SWB
0 - 4
SKN
42%
25%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
SWB
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SWB
2 - 1
GRA
16%
18%
66%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
STU
0 - 0
FAC
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
SVL
0 - 4
STU
45%
24%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STU
0 - 3
RIE
17%
22%
60%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SKN
0 - 2
STU
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
STU
3 - 1
AWM
21%
23%
55%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |