UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
SW Bregenz vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2004 |
STR
4 - 1
SWB
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SWB
2 - 2
RBS
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
AUS
4 - 1
SWB
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SWB
1 - 1
FCK
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SWB
3 - 2
MAT
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
GOR
0 - 2
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
GOR
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
ROD
1 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
LSO
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |