SW Bregenz vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FCW
1 - 1
SWB
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SWB
4 - 0
SVA
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TSV
3 - 2
SWB
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SWB
0 - 2
WAT
40%
24%
37%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KUF
3 - 0
SWB
53%
22%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
SEE
65%
18%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
STJ
0 - 1
HAR
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 3
UNI
80%
13%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HAL
1 - 3
HAR
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 2
RBJ
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |