SW Bregenz vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SVA
2 - 0
SWB
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SWB
1 - 0
FCH
90%
7%
2%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
TSV
3 - 0
SWB
13%
18%
68%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -3 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SWB
2 - 3
WAT
61%
20%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SWB
0 - 1
ANI
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 0
STJ
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
KUF
2 - 0
HAR
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 2
RBJ
14%
20%
65%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SCR
0 - 0
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SEE
3 - 3
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |