SW Bregenz vs Admira Wacker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
10º
8º
15
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
15 | 54 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 50 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 48 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 44 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 41 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
SWB
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SWB
2 - 1
VOI
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STU
0 - 0
SWB
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 2
SWB
26%
22%
52%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 4
SWB
16%
20%
65%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AWM
1 - 0
SVL
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 2
AWM
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
AWM
0 - 1
KAP
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ANN
1 - 5
AWM
9%
15%
77%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 1
AWM
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |