Schwadorf vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 4
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GAF
0 - 0
SCH
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 2
LEO
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SCR
2 - 2
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 2
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STP
3 - 1
ARD
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
STP
44%
23%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STP
0 - 2
STP
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
WUR
1 - 3
STP
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SVS
2 - 1
STP
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |