Schwadorf vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STP
3 - 0
SCH
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 1
ZWE
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
GOT
5 - 2
SCH
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 1
SVS
83%
13%
5%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
ARD
2 - 3
SCH
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
MIS
3 - 0
BAD
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SCR
5 - 2
MIS
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
MIS
2 - 2
WUR
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
MIS
2 - 0
GAF
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
AMS
2 - 2
MIS
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |