Schwadorf vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 1
SCH
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 1
WUR
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
SCH
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
STP
3 - 0
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 2
KOT
27%
26%
47%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GAF
3 - 0
SPR
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GAF
3 - 1
MAN
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 1
GAF
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
GAF
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GAF
5 - 1
WUR
40%
24%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |