Schwachhausen vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
60.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
14º
10º
45
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwachhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 0
SCH
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 3
SGA
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 4
BRI
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BTN
7 - 1
SCH
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 2
UNI
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
4 - 2
TKA
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 6
GEE
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
1 - 3
OBE
25%
19%
55%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
0 - 1
OSC
40%
21%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WER
1 - 2
GEE
8%
12%
80%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |