TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
13º
13º
26
10º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 33 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 25 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 72.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 3
AUG
6%
13%
81%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 3
TSA
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TSA
1 - 2
HEI
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KIR
0 - 1
TSA
17%
24%
60%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TSA
1 - 2
ERL
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 0
MAI
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
RWW
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
VIK
4 - 1
TUR
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 2
VIK
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
AHA
2 - 2
VIK
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |