TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
13º
7º
34
14º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DEI
0 - 0
TSA
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TSA
2 - 1
DAC
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
TSA
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TSA
0 - 2
186
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 4
TSA
14%
19%
67%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 1
VRG
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KOT
1 - 3
VRG
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VRG
0 - 0
FCG
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
MEM
1 - 1
VRG
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VRG
1 - 1
VFB
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |