TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
12º
12º
11
10º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAH
4 - 2
TSA
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 2
AUB
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 5
TSA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
3 - 2
VIL
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
3 - 1
TSA
81%
13%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
TAM
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
2 - 0
BUC
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 4
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 1
BUC
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
EIN
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |