TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
12º
12º
9
11º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 5
TSA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
3 - 2
VIL
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
3 - 1
TSA
81%
13%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TSA
2 - 1
VIK
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 3
AUG
6%
13%
81%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
3 - 1
AUB
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 3
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
AUB
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AUB
5 - 1
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |