Schotz vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
82.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
DEL
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
SCH
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 3
FCA
5%
11%
85%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 1
SCH
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SCH
5 - 0
BUO
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STG
4 - 1
FCL
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCL
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 2
DYN
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |