Schotz vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 0
GCB
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
ZUG
2 - 1
SCH
42%
23%
35%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 1
CHU
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 2
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
2 - 4
FCL
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCL
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |