Schotz vs Langenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
11º
2º
21
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 3
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
2 - 2
SCH
24%
22%
55%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BBB
2 - 4
SCH
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 3
FCP
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 1
SCH
22%
23%
56%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Langenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
BBB
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 1
KOS
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 2
LAN
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
MUN
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
LAN
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |