Schotz vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
11º
2º
15
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 1
SCH
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 0
SCH
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
LAN
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 3
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 1
CON
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DEL
1 - 0
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BBB
0 - 4
CON
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CON
1 - 3
FCP
45%
23%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
CON
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |