Schotz vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
79.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
OLD
3 - 2
SCH
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 3
WAN
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 2
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRA
57%
21%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
USC
0 - 5
SCH
19%
21%
61%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 3
BAS
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
6 - 0
LAU
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 4
BAS
4%
11%
85%
|
85 | 20 | 65 | -1 |