Schott Mainz vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
GIE
3 - 0
SMA
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
4 - 0
SMA
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
SMA
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
GON
1 - 4
SMA
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
PIR
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VFR
2 - 2
PIR
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VFR
4 - 3
MAI
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
VFR
1 - 4
AST
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HES
1 - 2
VFR
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
VFR
5 - 2
HOF
37%
25%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +3 |