Schott Mainz vs Karbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
9º
1º
24
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
62% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
8 - 2
SVW
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
SMA
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
DIE
75%
14%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 6
SMA
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 3
AUE
75%
15%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 1
VHE
78%
13%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 2
KAR
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 5
KAI
14%
18%
69%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
KAR
47%
24%
28%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
PIR
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |