Schott Mainz vs Kaiserslautern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+117%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
3º
19
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
21% | 35% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 2
SMA
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 2
PIR
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 2
SGF
7%
13%
81%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WWO
3 - 2
SMA
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 0
ARL
72%
16%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
9 - 0
VHE
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 5
KAI
19%
21%
61%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 5
KAI
22%
21%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 3
TUS
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 3
BIT
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |