Schott Mainz vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.7%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
87%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.7%
0-4
10.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.4%
0-5
6.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
4 - 3
SMA
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 8
BAS
82%
12%
7%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 1
PIR
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 3
SMA
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 1
KAI
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BVB
3 - 1
AJA
63%
19%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
CHL
1 - 1
BVB
32%
24%
44%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
BVB
3 - 2
MUD
32%
24%
44%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SDL
0 - 6
BVB
4%
10%
86%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ERF
1 - 2
BVB
3%
10%
87%
|
91 | 51 | 40 | 0 |