Schott Mainz vs Arminia Ludwigshafen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
3º
6
10º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
21% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 3
HOR
83%
11%
6%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 1
SMA
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OFC
3 - 1
SMA
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 2
SMA
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SMA
7 - 0
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ARL
1 - 4
PFE
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WWO
0 - 3
ARL
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ARL
3 - 8
KAI
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 2
ARL
16%
17%
68%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ARL
0 - 0
COS
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |