Schott Mainz vs Arminia Ludwigshafen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
8.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
JAG
4 - 1
SMA
22%
20%
58%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
SMA
3 - 3
GON
74%
14%
12%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BNE
0 - 3
SMA
23%
20%
58%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SMA
4 - 2
KAR
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 6
SMA
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ARL
10 - 0
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 2
ARL
60%
20%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ARL
4 - 2
DIE
30%
21%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
MEC
2 - 1
ARL
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SAA
4 - 0
ARL
43%
22%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |