Schönwies / Mils vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schönwies / Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 1
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
SCH
4 - 3
MOT
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SVI
5 - 1
SCH
83%
11%
7%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 2
VOL
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
JEN
3 - 1
SCH
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
KIR
4 - 1
HAL
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
KUN
1 - 3
KIR
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KIR
4 - 0
MAT
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
FUG
1 - 3
KIR
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
KIR
2 - 1
IMS
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |