Schonnebeck vs TVD Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
1º
9
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 75 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 73 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 39 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 34 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
58% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schonnebeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
DJK
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
SCH
34%
22%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 2
VFB
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
6 - 2
SPE
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
SGS
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
TVD Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
3 - 0
TDV
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TDV
1 - 1
SWE
21%
23%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
TDV
1 - 1
CON
35%
21%
44%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 0
TDV
41%
21%
38%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TDV
0 - 3
SWE
29%
24%
46%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -3 |