Schiltigheim vs Illkirch Graffenstaden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
12º
10º
10
13º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schiltigheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
NAN
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
SCH
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
GOB
15%
24%
61%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCS
4 - 1
SCH
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
AUX
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
ILL
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 0
RAO
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ILL
2 - 2
RAO
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAR
4 - 2
ILL
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
ILL
3 - 1
AMN
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |