Schermbeck vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
62.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ENN
2 - 2
SCH
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 5
GUT
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 1
SCH
56%
22%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 8
ERN
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
HEV
5 - 0
SCH
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 2
ERK
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
SPR
1 - 1
WAT
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 0
ABI
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ERN
3 - 2
WAT
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 1
WAT
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |