Schermbeck vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
WER
5 - 0
SCH
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
SWE
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
VFB
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIK
2 - 0
BER
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 2
VIK
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 3
VIK
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIK
5 - 0
ERN
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
WHE
1 - 0
VIK
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | -1 |