Schermbeck vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
VFB
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
6 - 3
RWA
17%
21%
63%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +5 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HUL
4 - 1
SWE
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 3
KFC
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
SWE
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 1
ERN
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WHE
0 - 3
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |