Schermbeck vs Rot-Weiss Essen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SWE
4 - 0
SCH
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
SCH
4 - 2
SOI
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GUT
0 - 0
SCH
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SCH
0 - 0
BSC
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
DSC
1 - 1
SCH
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ESS
1 - 2
WAT
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
HAM
1 - 4
ESS
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ESS
2 - 2
SPO
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ABI
2 - 2
ESS
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ESS
5 - 4
MSV
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |