Schermbeck vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 1
VEL
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 2
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SCH
3 - 2
HAM
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 0
ABI
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
HAM
5 - 1
GUT
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 0
GUT
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
GUT
1 - 1
ABI
22%
24%
55%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MSV
2 - 1
GUT
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AAA
3 - 1
GUT
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |