Schermbeck vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2004 |
SPR
4 - 2
SCH
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SCH
2 - 1
LIP
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LSV
0 - 3
SCH
20%
22%
57%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 1
BOC
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ERH
1 - 3
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2004 |
GUT
0 - 2
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
KOR
1 - 2
GUT
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GUT
1 - 0
SVE
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FBI
0 - 0
GUT
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
GUT
4 - 2
WAT
45%
25%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |